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BoardPassingRushingReceivingTouchdowns

Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 28 players rated

Passing yards

SEA @ DEN

8:15 PM ET

Bo Nix

8:15 PM ET
DEN vs SEA · QB
Our projection 169yds
L560% (3/5)L1070% (7/10)
207 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

7–3 over 169 · L5 3–2
168.8
212302352182141131288186214123

Defence

SEA allow187 yds
league average230 yds

Drew Lock

8:15 PM ET
SEA vs DEN · QB
Our projection 69yds
L540% (2/5)L1040% (2/5)
74 per game
Player detail +

Last 5 games

2–3 over 69 · L5 2–3
69.4
1500187235

Defence

DEN allow217 yds
league average230 yds

HOU @ JAX

9:30 AM ET

C.J. Stroud

9:30 AM ET
HOU vs JAX · QB
Our projection 282yds
L540% (2/5)L1020% (2/10)
252 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

2–8 over 282 · L5 2–3
281.6
203260187244169274353167347261

Defence

JAX allow257 yds
league average230 yds

Trevor Lawrence

9:30 AM ET
JAX vs HOU · QB
Our projection 239yds
L540% (2/5)L1070% (7/10)
235 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

7–3 over 239 · L5 2–3
238.6
244330279263255245189182227331

Defence

HOU allow234 yds
league average230 yds

BAL @ CLE

1:00 PM ET

Deshaun Watson

1:00 PM ET
CLE vs BAL · QB
Our projection 217yds
L540% (2/5)L1040% (2/5)
202 per game
Player detail +

Last 5 games

2–3 over 217 · L5 2–3
217.1
205238144268155

Defence

BAL allow247 yds
league average230 yds

Lamar Jackson

1:00 PM ET
BAL vs CLE · QB
Our projection 207yds
L580% (4/5)L1060% (6/10)
219 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

6–4 over 207 · L5 4–1
206.8
153246219150101238324235186222

Defence

CLE allow217 yds
league average230 yds

CAR @ PHI

1:00 PM ET

Bryce Young

1:00 PM ET
CAR vs PHI · QB
Our projection 251yds
L5100% (5/5)L1050% (5/10)
253 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 251 · L5 5–0
251.2
16920616319154266361287291329

Defence

PHI allow229 yds
league average230 yds

Jalen Hurts

1:00 PM ET
PHI vs CAR · QB
Our projection 192yds
L560% (3/5)L1050% (5/10)
193 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 192 · L5 3–2
192.1
23024017518511020326415393220

Defence

CAR allow229 yds
league average230 yds

CHI @ ATL

1:00 PM ET

Michael Penix Jr.

1:00 PM ET
ATL vs CHI · QB
Our projection 232yds
L540% (2/5)L1050% (5/10)
229 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 232 · L5 2–3
231.7
172313250241221177175256223240

Defence

CHI allow233 yds
league average230 yds

Tyson Bagent

1:00 PM ET
CHI vs ATL · QB
Our projection 76yds
L540% (2/5)L1040% (2/5)
72 per game
Player detail +

Last 5 games

2–3 over 76 · L5 2–3
76.2
27205426887

Defence

ATL allow244 yds
league average230 yds

NO @ NYG

1:00 PM ET

Tyler Shough

1:00 PM ET
NO vs NYG · QB
Our projection 229yds
L580% (4/5)L1080% (8/10)
241 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

8–2 over 229 · L5 4–1
228.6
14427230833325941025225528696

Defence

NYG allow219 yds
league average230 yds

Jameis Winston

1:00 PM ET
NYG vs NO · QB
Our projection 182yds
L540% (2/5)L1057% (4/7)
195 per game
Player detail +

Last 7 games

4–3 over 182 · L5 2–3
181.5
2013660111118250326

Defence

NO allow214 yds
league average230 yds

NYJ @ NE

1:00 PM ET

Drake Maye

1:00 PM ET
NE vs NYJ · QB
Our projection 228yds
L540% (2/5)L1050% (5/10)
251 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 228 · L5 2–3
228.5
282155380256191178208199269374

Defence

NYJ allow209 yds
league average230 yds

Geno Smith

1:00 PM ET
NYJ vs NE · QB
Our projection 197yds
L560% (3/5)L1050% (5/10)
210 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 197 · L5 3–2
196.7
285165116201176215247321119182

Defence

NE allow216 yds
league average230 yds

PIT @ TB

1:00 PM ET

Aaron Rodgers

1:00 PM ET
PIT vs TB · QB
Our projection 243yds
L540% (2/5)L1050% (5/10)
229 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 243 · L5 2–3
242.8
284224266168294221187292299235

Defence

TB allow244 yds
league average230 yds

Jalon Daniels

1:00 PM ET
TB vs PIT · QB
Our projection 120yds
L567% (2/3)L1067% (2/3)
112 per game
Player detail +

Last 3 games

2–1 over 120 · L5 2–1
120
0148189

Defence

PIT allow246 yds
league average230 yds

TEN @ IND

1:00 PM ET

Daniel Jones

1:00 PM ET
IND vs TEN · QB
Our projection 226yds
L540% (2/5)L1040% (4/10)
220 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

4–6 over 226 · L5 2–3
226.4
34225518120160166210235143267

Defence

TEN allow237 yds
league average230 yds

Cam Ward

1:00 PM ET
TEN vs IND · QB
Our projection 210yds
L520% (1/5)L1030% (3/10)
182 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

3–7 over 210 · L5 1–4
210.5
11717022825152140183181222170

Defence

IND allow266 yds
league average230 yds

ARI @ LA

4:05 PM ET

Matthew Stafford

4:05 PM ET
LA vs ARI · QB
Our projection 321yds
L560% (3/5)L1050% (5/10)
298 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 321 · L5 3–2
321.1
281368457269259155327390317383

Defence

ARI allow248 yds
league average230 yds

Jacoby Brissett

4:05 PM ET
ARI vs LA · QB
Our projection 196yds
L560% (3/5)L1080% (8/10)
230 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

8–2 over 196 · L5 3–2
196
27124920321224327795280166292

Defence

LA allow196 yds
league average230 yds

BUF @ LV

4:25 PM ET

Josh Allen

4:25 PM ET
BUF vs LV · QB
Our projection 247yds
L560% (3/5)L1050% (5/10)
241 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 247 · L5 3–2
246.8
123251193130262334248204253210

Defence

LV allow236 yds
league average230 yds

Kirk Cousins

4:25 PM ET
LV vs BUF · QB
Our projection 227yds
L580% (4/5)L1050% (5/10)
218 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 227 · L5 4–1
226.8
162373197126180160253248365243

Defence

BUF allow240 yds
league average230 yds

LAC @ KC

4:25 PM ET

Patrick Mahomes

4:25 PM ET
KC vs LAC · QB
Our projection 225yds
L560% (3/5)L1070% (7/10)
258 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

7–3 over 225 · L5 3–2
224.6
250276352261160189184382246225

Defence

LAC allow200 yds
league average230 yds

Justin Herbert

4:25 PM ET
LAC vs KC · QB
Our projection 196yds
L540% (2/5)L1050% (5/10)
208 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 196 · L5 2–3
195.9
151139210300236209192226189121

Defence

KC allow217 yds
league average230 yds

DAL @ GB

8:20 PM ET

Jordan Love

8:20 PM ET
GB vs DAL · QB
Our projection 275yds
L560% (3/5)L1040% (4/10)
257 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

4–6 over 275 · L5 3–2
275.4
13923423427677387145312197367

Defence

DAL allow247 yds
league average230 yds

Dak Prescott

8:20 PM ET
DAL vs GB · QB
Our projection 240yds
L580% (4/5)L1080% (8/10)
272 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

8–2 over 240 · L5 4–1
240
37629424430770175279276335316

Defence

GB allow203 yds
league average230 yds

WAS @ SF

8:15 PM ET

Brock Purdy

8:15 PM ET
SF vs WAS · QB
Our projection 275yds
L540% (2/5)L1050% (5/10)
240 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 275 · L5 2–3
274.8
168295295303127205287297218189

Defence

WAS allow264 yds
league average230 yds

Jayden Daniels

8:15 PM ET
WAS vs SF · QB
Our projection 164yds
L520% (1/5)L1050% (5/10)
169 per game
Player detail +

Last 10 games

5–5 over 164 · L5 1–4
164.5
2332002312111561537816496199

Defence

SF allow225 yds
league average230 yds

Graded

66.11 yards off, on average, over 151 projections. On the 151 where a baseline exists: 66.11 adjusted against 64.4 unadjusted — the opponent adjustment is not earning its place.